Most Recent: December 31, 1969
Basketball betting is one of the most lucrative in the world of sports betting, and it shows no signs of slowing down any time soon. The sport itself and the wagers on the sports are both straightforward, but it might be difficult to know where to begin in terms of strategy. Even though you'll have to figure out your way to cheat the system eventually, we can point you on the proper path so you can start "earning some real bucks." We hear that's how hipsters describe earning a living.
The most efficient way to put these tips to use it as a foundation upon which to build your unique approach to betting. Most of them should be taken literally, but you shouldn't let that detract from the fact that they're only one part of a larger plan. These suggestions are meant to complement your approach and guide your thought process as you formulate your plan. Don't rely on just one of the suggestions below when making your wagers. Make use of them as parts of a larger, more informed betting strategy.
Paint Points vs. Three-Pointers
When analyzing a team's consistency, it might be instructive to consider the means through which the majority of its points are scored. It's nice to be a team that thrives on 3-pointers, but it's far more difficult to go cold from deep than it is to lose your footing and go to the hoop in the post or when driving.
Teams that prioritize the paint tend to be more consistent and less likely to go through losing streaks.
It's important to keep this in mind while betting on college basketball games and filling out your tournament bracket. Seldom a team relies heavily on three-point shooting to be victorious in the NCAA tournament. Looking at such teams is exciting in the hopes of spotting an upset, but they are not worth your time for long-term stability or deep runs.
To see when the team will be playing, see their schedule page.
In basketball, team fatigue is a major factor in how well they perform. Unlike in football, where games are spread out throughout the season, calendars for these sports are sometimes packed with many games each week. Find out how many games the club has played lately and whether they are on a lengthy road trip. It's safe to assume that a team's performance will suffer if it's playing its fourth game in five days due to fatigue.
The location of these games is also crucial to consider since away/road contests will inevitably drain your team more than their home counterparts. Think about the distances they must go to get to their games. Every game across the nation is going to take a toll on them, but if they have to do it every week, it will be too much. You should also consider how far along they are in the season since this phenomenon often doesn't show its full force until after the first quarter. You'll have greater success taking advantage of this situation the later in the season it occurs.
Despite a crushing defeat, road trips are still favored.
Bettors often examine teams who are favored in an away game after being routed at home, as this indicates that they may be on the verge of a turnaround. The oddsmakers still have faith in these teams' ability level, since they remain road favorites after suffering a significant setback.
After being humiliated, these squads will be just as motivated as the others will. In the last decade, road favorites that have lost by 15 or more points have covered the spread over 60% of the time.
Massive Underdogs at Their Own Stadium
It's very embarrassing to lose in front of your crowd. Even in basketball, this seems to be the case. When a team is a large underdog (10+ points) at home, it has a good chance of covering the spread.
A lot of this has to do with the opposing side relaxing when they're up by a large margin, and a lot of it has to do with the emotional desire to impress at home. They won't worry about how many points they win by as long as they get the victory. We consider the spread, but the teams in the game do not. When they win, they win, and when they lose, they lose.
Keep an eye out for Changing Lines
One of the keys to success in sports betting is realizing that there are specialists in the field who are essentially geniuses at the game. If you are already among them, you won't be affected as much, however, it is helpful to be aware of the actions being taken by other experts. If the public has invested significantly on one side of a bet and the line suddenly shifts, the experts are likely taking advantage of the betting habits of the uninformed.
The average person has traditionally not been a particularly savvy Beter. People are too quick to follow fleeting fads without considering the long-term consequences of their actions. The success of sports betting may be attributed to a few key factors. This opens up a ton of doors for skilled Peters. An oversimplified scenario will help illustrate our point.
Take the example of the Orlando Magic taking on the New York Knicks with a -6 point spread. The public begins significantly betting on the Knicks after widespread media and fan attention focused on the team's greatness and underappreciation. Considering how many people are betting on the Knicks, the line rapidly shifts to the Magic -3. Smart money often takes advantage of the public's haste to jump on trends by shifting the line back in the other direction, such as from Magic +4 to Magic -4. When this occurs, it's best to place your money with the pros.
To capitalize on a public bet that moves the line in your favor, you don't have to wait for the other experts to reverse their positions.
If the line is flowing in one direction and you believe it's wrong because people are betting with their emotions rather than logic, you should bet against the crowd. You may want to hold off for a little longer to see whether it continues to go in the wrong way. After enough people bet on your wrong assumption (as in the previous example), the line will shift (from Magic -6 to Magic -5). If you believe it's a good bet right now, you may place it, or you can wait to see what happens. If others keep wagering on it, the line will shift in your favor, making your bet more appealing. Worst case scenario, the line moves back to where it was, and you don't bet on that game. The game may also be bet at -5, and if you believe it will go farther, you can bet it again.
Getting on moving lines at the right moment is an art that can only be mastered with practice. We also want to emphasize that you shouldn't feel obligated to wager on a game just because the line shifted. Only wager on the game if doing so is consistent with your plan and you have confidence in your selection. You should also verify that the change in the line is the result of the experts adjusting for poor public betting rather than the other way around. The bookmakers are excellent at releasing fair lines, but they sometimes make errors. If they release an inaccurate line, sharp bettors will start betting on it right once, and the line will swiftly adjust. You can't blame the public for inadvertently shifting the boundary in this case.
Here are a few pointers to help you implement this method with ease.
One must understand WHY the line is relocating. Do not wager only on the fact that it has moved.
Bet only if the revised line seems like a solid wager. You shouldn't wager simply because it shifted.
Sportsbooks are smart, but they make errors too; sometimes the public will be correct; you don't have to wait to pounce on a lousy line; timing and waiting may be helpful.
Protect the Ones You Like the Most
Many times above, we alluded to our ability to take advantage of the betting public's propensity to place wagers based on emotion rather than logic. As a corollary, we want to never be the ones that other people take advantage of. The easiest way to achieve this is to exercise due diligence when deciding who to bet on and how to interpret news and recommendations about our favorite teams. Let's take a quick look at each of them.
Every fan hopes that their team succeeds. To this end, our minds actively explore the possibilities, even if they are limited along with <a href="https://www.copybet.com/promo/no-deposit-free-bet/"> free bets no deposit</a>. As a fan, this is fantastic news since it raises expectations and makes the game day that much more exciting. Yet it might mean a certain catastrophe for a bettor on sports. Profits may be eroded if you allow this unlikely possibility to influence your choices and approach. If you're not confident in your plan, it's generally advisable to refrain from wagering on your favorite teams. It is difficult to remain objective because there are generally many different games to select from.
Second, we stressed the need of being selective about your sources of information and the meanings you assign to the stories you hear. The media and the public alike have a penchant for exaggerating the closeness of games that may not truly be that close. You mustn't allow these reports to influence your betting decisions. To avoid falling victim to this, it's important to be selective about your news and information sources and to create your thoughts before making any decisions. After you've settled on a wager, you may reach out to others for input and see if their thoughts alter your own. Don't let it rule your life, and don't give in to the temptation of being a part of the "general betting public."
Cherry Play Games Wisely and Save Money
It is common knowledge that bookies are experts at what they do. The difficulty in discovering value will be exacerbated by the fact that most of the lines they provide will be spot on. Yet, this does not disprove the existence of that value. It's more possible that you'll uncover some lines with faults in them when several games are happening at once. A smaller percentage of the total time spent on creating lines will go toward games that are less popular overall. Finding terrible lines requires no special knowledge or skill. The trick is to develop a plan that allows you to identify and capitalize on such openings when they arise.
This is an easy piece of advice, yet far too many people overlook it. Before placing a bet on a game, it is important to research the teams involved and any possible injuries.
Case in Point
If you check the odds and discover that the Warriors are a slight -2 favorite to beat the Knicks. You can't believe the book would put up such a terrible line, and you think this is a fantastic deal. Yet, you failed to check that their top player, Steph Curry, and two other starters are out with injuries. This occurs often because of the length of the season and the number of games that must be played.
Check the game's official roster to be sure the players you're counting on to help you win are truly going to be there. It won't take more than a few minutes of your time, but it might end up saving you a lot of cash.